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| | Author: MasterBets
| NFL Handicapping Like The Pros
In order to make money with NFL betting you have to know how to handicap football games. NFL handicapping requires two separate skill-sets. The first is knowledge about the NFL. You need to research and analyze teams, form trends, player injuries, and watch as many NFL games as you can. These are the basics of NFL handicapping. Anyone can do this, and millions do, they're known as fans. The second skill you need is to understand betting odds. Very few people know how to do this. Everyone has seen NFL lines, that is the spread for upcoming games, but few know how to interpret and then benefit from this data. To handicap NFL lines you first need to recognize value in a line, and this requires a basic understanding of mathematical probability, and experience at sports betting. Both can be acquired with time and hard work.
This is the first key to winning your NFL bets, something only 5% of sports bettors achieve - you will need to spend time handicapping football every day. You cannot glance at the latest standings, the player injury report, and the highlights of last weeks games, and then expect to be an NFL handicapper. You will not win after an hour or two of what you might consider to be NFL handicapping in action. It doesn't work like that. We handicap football the way other people have day jobs and we still only manage 60% winners. So imagine what 1 or 2 hours gets you? Nothing, is the answer you were looking for.
You need to watch as many NFL games as you can, to witness first-hand what is going on. Make notes while you watch. Also, note the turnover differential and rushing yards differential for every game. These are very important for success with NFL betting. If you are going to be an NFL handicapper you will need to keep game stats, and have definite opinions on what you just watched.
If you're going to take NFL handicapping seriously then you should consider joining a premium fantasy football league - one that sends you daily email updates of player injuries and team news. This is crucial information, and you want it in a timely manner spaced throughout the week. You don't want to cram all the information on Saturday night. NFL handicapping doesn't work with short-cuts.
Use a site like MasterBets to back up your views. Talk to other NFL handicappers about your opinions. Drop us an email, and read what we write with a critical eye. We have a deeper knowledge of the game that utilizes years of sports betting experience and analysis of key trends to ensure that we know exactly what we're talking about when we give out an NFL pick. If your research matches ours than you should feel extremely confident about your next NFL wager.
Advanced NFL handicapping strategy would be to start formulating your own lines for upcoming NFL games before they are released by Vegas sports books. You should have a good idea of what the spread for a game should be, and if there is a discrepancy in your favor you might have a potential overlay with an NFL pick. This is a betting opportunity where your true odds of winning are considerably better than the actual odds on offer. This is a value bet. Imagine if someone was willing to pay you $1.10 for every $1 you wagered on a coin-toss. That's an overlay, and we find them all the time in the NFL.
If you can map out future spreads, have an excellent understanding of current NFL form, and analyze NFL stats correctly you will leapfrog the competition, and NFL handicapping is a competition sport all of its own. You must know more than the general betting public if you are to succeed. Partnering with MasterBets is one way, the easiest way, to ensure that this happens!
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| Last Updated
Tuesday, April 22, 2008 | | |
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