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Both of these teams have been eliminated from the postseason, which is helpful from a handicapping perspective. Both teams have nothing to play for, and pure ability becomes more significant. The Bucs are a terrible road team, winless on the season away from Tampa. The Cardinals are a decent 5-10 team, with 3 of their losses coming by 3 points - they were actually on the brink of being a playoff team this season, but for their inexplicable inability to beat the 49ers. The Cardinals have won 4 home games this season, and should be good enough to win here by more than 3 points, based on heads-up projections of these two. Lay the points but no more than 4 as this could be close.
Result: Our analysis is spot on yet again. Cardinals win by 5 points in a close game, as predicted. Pick wins.